Why Ethiopia Have to Preparing to Invade Eritrea Next!
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Benefits of Ethiopia Negotiating with Eritrea for Access to the Red Sea (Port Access)
Negotiating with Eritrea to secure access to the Red Sea ports, such as Assab and Massawa, can offer significant benefits to Ethiopia. Here are the key advantages of negotiation:
Economic Growth and Trade: Gaining access to Eritrean ports would provide Ethiopia with a direct route to the Red Sea, boosting trade efficiency and reducing costs. Currently, Ethiopia relies heavily on Djibouti for port access, but securing additional routes through Eritrea would diversify Ethiopia's options and reduce dependency, enhancing trade opportunities with global markets.
Strengthening Regional Cooperation: A peaceful agreement with Eritrea would enhance diplomatic and economic ties, fostering regional stability. A cooperative relationship with Eritrea can lead to stronger economic partnerships, including shared infrastructure projects, transportation networks, and regional integration, benefiting both countries.
Cost-Effective Solutions: Negotiation offers a peaceful and more cost-effective solution compared to the devastating costs of war, which can damage infrastructure, human lives, and international relations. Diplomatic talks would avoid the financial and human toll of conflict while achieving mutual benefits for both Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Ethiopia's Potential Benefits of Invasion (If Negotiation Fails)
If Eritrea refuses to negotiate or make an agreement for Ethiopia’s access to the ports, Ethiopia might see potential benefits in a military invasion, though this path carries significant risks. Here are the perceived benefits from such an action:
Securing Access to the Red Sea:
Invasion could result in Ethiopia regaining access to key coastal territories where the world trade route, particularly the Red Sea ports of Assab and Massawa. This would give Ethiopia, a landlocked country since Eritrea's independence in 1993, a vital maritime outlet, reducing reliance on Djibouti for trade.
Economic Independence: By controlling the Red Sea ports, Ethiopia could lower transportation costs for imports and exports, which would boost economic independence and potentially lead to accelerated economic growth. This would also provide Ethiopia with greater leverage in regional trade and transportation.
Strategic Control: Controlling access to the Red Sea would give Ethiopia a strategic geopolitical advantage in the Horn of Africa. Maritime access is crucial for trade, military, and political influence in the region, strengthening Ethiopia's regional standing.
Risks and Considerations
While there may be benefits to an invasion, it is important to recognize that it would carry some risks, including sanctions, loss of life, condemnation, and prolonged instability.
Negotiation remains the more sustainable and peaceful route to securing Ethiopia’s and Eritreas long-term interests.
